
1. Might Greek-Israeli ties, as some think, be a marriage of convenience until Israel-Turkey relations improve?
Greek Israeli ties could evolve in view of several developments, including the deterioration of Turkish-Israeli relations. The Eastern Mediterranean has seen strategic developments which may give Israel and Greece reasons to enhance their strategic relationship, as a way to reposition the various equations of balance of power in the region. Under the AKP Government in Ankara, Turkey has practically severed its military alliance with Israel, and at the same time signed a strategic cooperation treaty with Syria even though it criticized Assad since the uprising started few months ago. The AKP Government is reaching out to Hamas, even though indirectly, and is enhancing its outreach to the Iranian regime.
On the other hand, the Iranians are increasing their maritime presence in the area, particularly after their Navy units crossed the Suez Canal. All this may compel the Israelis to counterbalance with an outreach to Greece. However, it is up to the latter to evaluate such a new relationship. How does Athens perceive the AKP future moves in the region, including in the Agean, Cyprus and the Balkans, would determine if Greece would effectively need a Mediterranean strategic partner like Israel, or not. It is to be seen.
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